散戶作戰手冊「大叔的十條紀律」
紀律是保護傘,讓我們 在機會來臨時,手邊還有資本;在風險來臨時,還能保命活下來!
散戶作戰手冊
主題:「大叔的十條紀律」
紀律是讓我們遠離風險的解方!
在散戶作戰手冊中,大叔分享了本輪修正盤勢裡,給自己的十條紀律。
這在面對每一次的修正或循環,也都同樣適用:
第一、不融資抄底
市場永遠可以比你想像的跌得更久,
槓桿最大的敵人,就是「時間」。
第二、不接槓桿ETF的刀
這很重要!
去槓桿的環境下,「負複利」比下跌本身更加的可怕。
第三、不替投機部位攤平
只有「核心資產」值得等待,
「題材股」沒有平均成本,只有平均風險。
第四、不因為跌很多而買,只因為條件到了才買
便宜,這並不是理由!訊號才是理由。
第五、不把技術性反彈當成趨勢反轉
「反彈」只證明有人買,
「反轉」才是證明市場願意一路買上去。
第六、只要強制平倉仍然大量發生就不重倉做右側
市場還沒清乾淨之前,「耐心」比勇氣更有價值。
第七、不在一天之內做完所有決定
好的部位,可以慢慢建立;
錯誤的決定,往往都是一天完成。
第八、不只看一個數字更要看它怎麼算出來
殖利率是哪一個天期?
融資餘額有沒有包含 ETF?
成長率是年增、季增,還是調整後數字?先確認口徑,再下結論。
第九、不把別人的劇本變成自己的部位
別人的研究可以參考,但風險只能自己承擔。
真正應該相信的是自己事前寫好的「交易計畫」。
第十、不要跟市場辯論
如果發生財報與指引已經正式推翻原本的投資邏輯,劇本已經改變。
市場可能短期誤判,但長期不會因為我們不願意認錯,就改變方向。
大叔總結:
在投資市場上,風險無處不在,散戶若能「保持紀律」,就像身著盔甲能趨吉避凶。
這正是穿越牛熊的不二法門!
紀律是保護傘
讓我們 在機會來臨時,手邊還有資本;在風險來臨時,還能保命活下來!
大叔與各位共勉,謝謝收聽!
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